Category: Iran

Overview. A tentative deal – of sorts, and not acknowledged as such by either party – seems to have been hatched between Iran and the US. The indications are that a prisoners-for-funds agreement may have been evolving alongside commitments by Iran to slow both its uranium enrichment activities and some of its regional militancy against…

Overview. Last month’s indicators of there being an agreement – of sorts – in the pipeline appear to have fizzled out, amid rising naval tensions in the Gulf. Domestically, the regime now feels confident enough to return to enforcing the hijab laws. Although enforcement is likely to lead to localised protest, the government will shore…

Overview. Another month of significant high-level diplomatic activity. Speculation abounds that the Iranians and Americans will reach an accommodation, trading limited sanctions relief for reductions in the pace of the nuclear programme. Watch for further US approvals for the unfreezing of Iranian offshore funds and any statements on the release of dual-national prisoners.…… Read the…

Overview. Regional dynamics continue to evolve following the Saudi Iranian diplomatic deal, albeit with a hiccup in mutual embassy openings. The regime hopes to draw a line under months of protest, simultaneously announcing an official investigation into the conduct on both sides and attempting to reassert itself in the enforcement of hijab rules.…… Read the…

Overview. Rapid progress appears to be being made as a flurry of diplomatic activity has followed the announcement of a China-brokered deal to restore diplomatic ties with Saudi Arabia. Embassy openings, mutual presidential and royal visits, and trade deals are being discussed, announced, or arranged in rapid succession. But while regional mood music is improving,…

Overview. Saudi Arabia and Iran struck an agreement to restore diplomatic ties. Building on progress underway for several months, and with China playing a key role in getting the deal over the line, it is important, but does not fully resolve the complex challenges within the bilateral relationship. This year, the Persian New Year (Nowruz)…